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Turkey, because it wants a free hand to deal to the Kurds, finishing off the Kurdish genocide that it started during WW1, and has categorically denied ever since even in the face irrefutable evidence. Looking to other forums, talking US Politics can attract some combative 'guys' from on line 'junkyard' that behaving well like 'junk'Ĭlick to expand.Not just Ìran, but Russia, China, and Turkey with regard to the Middle East. I understand why US moderators like Preceptor does not want discussion on US Politics in this forum especially under current situation. Hope this's not translate as talking much on US Politics, but more on Iran/Middle East Geopolitical situation after US election. Still US election systems so far shown the contested process will not be prolonged. Considering how polarized US Constituents right now I think whoever win the others have potential will contested the result. He's seems more driven by his ideology and believe compared to Trump which in the end more driven by business goals.Īs potential November elections will be contested, I think it will depend on how close it is. For me personally as non American, I will be more nervous with Biden compared to Trump under current Geopolitical situation. So just like you say, don't expect much on Biden if he's winning next election. Trump actually provide more room to negotiate, and it just the way he open negotiations always in more aggressive stand with more bravado perhaps mimicking his behaviors in business world. In fact many Market Analysts feel that if not due to COVID 19, all this trade war with China already can be handle more faster.
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Many people in our Industry in fact feels that on the contrary to media or politicall analysts, Trump actually is predictable.Īll he cares is how to reduce US trade deficit, provide more access to US products in China or any countries that have trade surplus with US, and for US allies pay more Defence 'burden' so he can reduce US Armed Forces operational costs. Perhaps cause I come from Financial Industry. Meanwhile the conspiracy theorists will be going flat out.Ĭlick to expand.Understand my post is not aim to talk about US politics, but more to put 'cautions' on expectations that if Biden win then US Global politics will be more manageable.
![dae jo yeong ddh-977 dae jo yeong ddh-977](https://tni.mil.id/mod/news/images/normal/6ca872f4b4625a13e2cd4b2be2768f19.jpg)
If postal voting does become a major component of the election, then it will be some time after election day before the results are known and released. Also the pandemic is going to have an impact upon the election itself, especially upon the voter turnout due to lockdowns and other health based spatial restrictions. Next November it would be advisable to treat the poll results with a great degree of caution because of the inherent inaccuracies. Fourthly, the US has lost respect and is been seen as less trustworthy and reliable by friends allies because of rhetoric and decisions coming out of the White House. Thirdly, there are geopolitical and geostrategic threats to the rules based international order and the US hasn't helped matters by it's unilateral withdrawal from certain Treaties and Agreements that have had international consequences that are detrimental both to US interests and to global stability. As we all know the pandemic is a catastrophic economic crisis on par with the 1930s Great Depression, that will have global impacts. Secondly, the COVID-19 pandemic has thrown a large monkey wrench into the works. It has changed for the worse and it's debatable whether or not it will be possible for it to fully recover the lost ground and trust. To much has changed and the US is no longer the country it was 4 years ago. If Biden wins this year, there will be changes to various policies, however I doubt if the US will revert to the policy settings of pre November 2016. That's the bespoke methodology of the US Presidential electoral system. However in the only poll that counted Clinton may have won the popular vote, but she didn't win the vote that really counted: the electoral college votes. In the 2016 election the polls had Clinton ahead of Trump by 1.5 - 4% on average. Can't understand why myself, but he's pretty grumpier than usual about it.
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Click to expand.We have to be careful here because Preceptor gets all wound up when US politics get discussed on here.